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Bari vs Reggiana Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Artioli F.
Assist: Rao E.
15' Event
Rao E.
Assist: Moncini G.
16'
Artioli F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Bari and Reggiana finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Bari
20%
Draws
35%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Reggiana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Reggiana
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Bari
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Bari
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Serie B
Bari vs Reggiana
2:2
Jan 27, 2024 Serie B
Bari vs Reggiana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Rao E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Artioli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Lusuardi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 41 / 100
Reggiana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Bari stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bari's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Reggiana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Reggiana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
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Reggiana

(Away)
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)