Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bari vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Moncini G.
54'
Merkaj S.
57'
Cerofolini M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bari
33%
Draws
40%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari have won more games recently than Sudtirol.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sudtirol taking it.
  • Bari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sudtirol, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bari Clean Sheet 21%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Sudtirol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 29 / 100
Sudtirol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sudtirol conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Bari's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Sudtirol
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Bari
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Sudtirol

(Away)
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Bari 0
Sudtirol 0