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Bari vs Sudtirol Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Moncini G.
54'
Merkaj S.
57'
Cerofolini M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bari
30%
Draws
27%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bari have won more games recently than Sudtirol.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Bari taking it.
  • Bari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sudtirol, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bari Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Serie B
Bari vs Sudtirol
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Bari
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bari 50 / 100
Sudtirol 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bari Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bari found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Sudtirol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bari VS Sudtirol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bari

(Home)
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0
Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
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Sudtirol

(Away)
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Bari 0
Sudtirol 0