Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barkchi Hisor in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barkchi Hisor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Barkchi Hisor
35%
Draws
6%
Istaravshan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barkchi Hisor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barkchi Hisor lately — more wins on the board than Istaravshan.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Barkchi Hisor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 20%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barkchi Hisor Istaravshan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Barkchi Hisor
1:4
Apr 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan
0:0
May 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Barkchi Hisor
2:0
Aug 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Istaravshan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barkchi Hisor 85 / 100
Istaravshan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barkchi Hisor Istaravshan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barkchi Hisor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Barkchi Hisor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Barkchi Hisor scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Barkchi Hisor VS Istaravshan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barkchi Hisor

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
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Istaravshan

(Away)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)