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Barkchi Hisor vs Khosilot Parkhar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barkchi Hisor host Khosilot Parkhar in the Vysshaya Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Khosilot Parkhar have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Barkchi Hisor have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Khosilot Parkhar slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Khosilot Parkhar. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Barkchi Hisor
35%
Draws
32%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khosilot Parkhar come out ahead of Barkchi Hisor on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 11%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barkchi Hisor Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Barkchi Hisor
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Khosilot Parkhar
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Barkchi Hisor
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:1
May 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Barkchi Hisor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barkchi Hisor 29 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barkchi Hisor Khosilot Parkhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barkchi Hisor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barkchi Hisor scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Khosilot Parkhar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Barkchi Hisor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barkchi Hisor VS Khosilot Parkhar
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barkchi Hisor

(Home)
10 Oct
Regar-TadAZ
2 : 0
Barkchi Hisor
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6

Khosilot Parkhar

(Away)
11 Oct
Ravshan Kulob
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 18 10 5 3 35:18 35
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 18 6 5 7 24:20 23
8 Vakhsh 18 5 8 5 27:25 23
9 Eskhata 18 5 5 8 23:33 20
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 19 4 3 12 16:36 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 17 2 6 9 24:32 12
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)