Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022

Rugenbergen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst play Rugenbergen in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. Rugenbergen are favorites here. Recently, Barmbek-Uhlenhorst averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. Rugenbergen averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Barmbek-Uhlenhorst won 1, Rugenbergen won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 8, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Barmbek-Uhlenhorst and 1.00 for Rugenbergen. This points to a Rugenbergen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

25%

Draws

60%

Rugenbergen

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rugenbergen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst picked up more points recently compared to Rugenbergen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst Clean Sheet 23%

Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	Rugenbergen
Matches Played	28	42
Wins	5	18
Draws	3	3
Losses	20	21
Goals Scored	1.43	1.79
Goals Conceded	3.14	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Mar 18, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

2:4

Nov 29, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Apr 13, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Oct 13, 2019 Oberliga Hamburg

Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst 18 / 100

Rugenbergen 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst Rugenbergen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugenbergen Win (2)

Secondary Pick Rugenbergen & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst attacking → ← attacking Rugenbergen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Rugenbergen let in goals in 83% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rugenbergen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 57

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13