Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs TSV Concordia

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst play TSV Concordia in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Barmbek-Uhlenhorst averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. TSV Concordia averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. In past meetings, Barmbek-Uhlenhorst won 3, TSV Concordia won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 3, 2021 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Barmbek-Uhlenhorst and 1.00 for TSV Concordia. This points to a TSV Concordia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
40%
Draws
30%
TSV Concordia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: TSV Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Barmbek-Uhlenhorst picked up more points recently compared to TSV Concordia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst Clean Sheet 23%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barmbek-Uhlenhorst TSV Concordia
Matches Played 28 46
Wins 5 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.43 1.61
Goals Conceded 3.14 2.22

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs TSV Concordia
1:4
Sep 24, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
0:1
Oct 20, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs TSV Concordia
1:0
Mar 20, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs TSV Concordia
0:0
Sep 29, 2019 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst 32 / 100
TSV Concordia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst TSV Concordia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TSV Concordia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst attacking → ← attacking TSV Concordia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

TSV Concordia let in goals in 80% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

TSV Concordia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dassendorf18161163:1249
2Sasel18123351:2639
3TSV Concordia18103542:2433
4Paloma1896334:2733
5Curslack-Neuengamme1893650:3030
6VfL Lohbrugge18621022:3420
7Barmbek-Uhlenhorst18521131:5317
8Hamm United18511219:4416
9Bramfelder SV18331229:4812
10Meiendorfer SV18221415:588
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Niendorfer TSV16112343:2535
2SC Victoria Hamburg1675434:2426
3HEBC Hamburg1675440:3526
4TSV Buchholz 081666434:3124
5TuS Osdorf1672737:3123
6Suderelbe1655632:3920
7Hamburger III1645737:5217
8Rugenbergen1644820:2916
9Tornesch16401232:4312