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Barnsley U23 vs Portsmouth U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2017/2018 Oakwell
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Pearson M.
38' Event
Palmer R.
88' Event
Smith D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League Cup 2017/2018 game between Barnsley U23 and Portsmouth U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portsmouth U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barnsley U23
6%
Draws
4%
Portsmouth U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barnsley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barnsley U23 come out ahead of Portsmouth U23 on wins alone.
  • Barnsley U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Premier League Cup 2017/2018 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portsmouth U23 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barnsley U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley U23 Portsmouth U23
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2018 Premier League Cup
Barnsley U23 vs Portsmouth U23
1:2
Nov 29, 2017 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Barnsley U23
0:1
Sep 12, 2016 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Barnsley U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnsley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmer R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Portsmouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lethbridge B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley U23 84 / 100
Portsmouth U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley U23 Portsmouth U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barnsley U23 scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Portsmouth U23 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Barnsley U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley U23 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Derby U23640214:812
2Middlesbrough U2363039:89
3Birmingham U23630310:149
4Nottingham U2362047:106
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blackburn U23632113:611
2Southampton U2363126:310
3Cardiff U2362229:88
4Watford U2361144:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wolves U23641114:1213
2Bournemouth U23631216:710
3Norwich U2363128:810
4Bury U2360154:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Utd U23641119:913
2Swansea U23631214:1310
3Burnley U23630310:119
4Colchester U2361058:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aston Villa U23650114:315
2Sheffield Utd U2363035:59
3Ipswich U2363037:109
4West Brom U2361055:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leicester U23642015:514
2Everton U2363128:510
3Portsmouth U2361234:85
4Barnsley U2361144:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol City U23641110:1213
2Liverpool U23631219:710
3Stoke City U23621311:147
4Charlton U2361144:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Exeter U23632111:511
2Brighton U23631215:910
3Sunderland U2362137:127
4Hull City U2361235:125