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Barnsley vs Oldham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy Oakwell, Barnsley
Tue, Nov 10, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Barnsley at 1.31 goals for, 1.75 against; Oldham at 1.5 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Barnsley have won 5 to Oldham's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2018, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.94) point toward Barnsley. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Barnsley
20%
Draws
80%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oldham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Oldham are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Oldham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barnsley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barnsley here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley Oldham
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2018 EFL Trophy
Oldham vs Barnsley
1:2
Apr 12, 2016 League One
Barnsley vs Oldham
2:1
Nov 21, 2015 League One
Oldham vs Barnsley
1:2
Mar 14, 2015 League One
Oldham vs Barnsley
1:3
Feb 3, 2015 League One
Barnsley vs Oldham
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley 10 / 100
Oldham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oldham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oldham conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Oldham has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley VS Oldham
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1
Barnsley
20 Oct
Luton
2 : 1
Barnsley
17 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
10 Oct
Stockport County
3 : 1
Barnsley
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1
Barnsley
Page 1 of 7

Oldham

(Away)
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1
Oldham
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2
Leeds U21
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0
Accrington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:6 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oldham 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 2 1 0 1 4:8 3
4 Fulham U21 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 5:4 5
3 Reading 2 1 0 1 1:3 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
3 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)