Sport Picks

Barquisimeto vs Aragua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela

Copa Venezuela

Barquisimeto

1 - 4

Aragua

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Rondon J.

(Penalty)

30'

Di Modugno R.

45'

Perez K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Barquisimeto

15%

Draws

50%

Aragua

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Barquisimeto haven't matched Aragua's recent run of results.
50% — that's where the model lands on Aragua taking it.
Aragua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Aragua, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 13%

Aragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barquisimeto	Aragua
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	12
Draws	7	10
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.57	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Barquisimeto vs Aragua

1:4

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Aragua vs Barquisimeto

0:1

Sep 30, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Aragua vs Barquisimeto

1:2

Aug 14, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Barquisimeto vs Aragua

3:1

May 19, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Aragua vs Barquisimeto

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barquisimeto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Modugno R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Perez K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barquisimeto 22 / 100

Aragua 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barquisimeto Aragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barquisimeto scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Aragua has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Barquisimeto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barquisimeto VS Aragua

1.75 Goals Scored 2.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barquisimeto

(Home)

07 Oct

Barquisimeto

1 : 4

Aragua

03 Oct

Barquisimeto

2 : 4

Atletico El Vigia

30 Sept

Atletico Barinas

1 : 2

Barquisimeto

26 Sept

Barquisimeto

3 : 0

Urena

16 Sept

Zamora 2

0 : 2

Barquisimeto

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Aragua

(Away)

07 Oct

Barquisimeto

1 : 4

Aragua

27 Sept

Aragua

1 : 0

Avila

20 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Aragua

13 Sept

Aragua

2 : 1

Deportivo Miranda

09 Sept

Yaracuyanos

2 : 5

Aragua

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