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Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Infante J.
41' Event
Rondon J.
47' Event
Infante J.

AI Match Summary

Atletico El Vigia in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico El Vigia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Barquisimeto
20%
Draws
52%
Atletico El Vigia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico El Vigia lately — more wins on the board than Barquisimeto.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Barquisimeto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 13%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barquisimeto Atletico El Vigia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
2:4
Aug 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto
5:2
May 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
5:0
Mar 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barquisimeto Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Top Goalscorer Infante J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duarte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barquisimeto 35 / 100
Atletico El Vigia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barquisimeto Atletico El Vigia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Barquisimeto scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico El Vigia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Barquisimeto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barquisimeto VS Atletico El Vigia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barquisimeto

(Home)
10 Oct
Yaracuyanos
3 : 2
Barquisimeto
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
Page 1 of 6

Atletico El Vigia

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 30 15 8 7 54:35 53
3 Yaracuyanos 30 14 7 9 44:30 49
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 25 14 6 5 41:26 48
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 25 2 10 13 13:32 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)