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Barquisimeto vs Urena

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barquisimeto play Urena in the Liga FUTVE 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Barquisimeto averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1 conceded. Urena averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Barquisimeto won 3, Urena won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Barquisimeto and 0.94 for Urena. This points to a Barquisimeto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Barquisimeto
34%
Draws
30%
Urena
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Barquisimeto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Barquisimeto picked up more points recently compared to Urena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 24%
Urena Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barquisimeto Urena
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Urena
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Urena
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Barquisimeto
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Urena
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barquisimeto 37 / 100
Urena 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barquisimeto Urena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barquisimeto or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barquisimeto attacking → ← attacking Urena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barquisimeto scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Urena let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Barquisimeto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Urena lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 40
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lara1695224:1432
2Barquisimeto1694324:1331
3Urena1686224:1530
4Zamora 21666425:2124
5Yaracuyanos1673621:1824
6Academia Puerto Cabello B1662820:2020
7Atletico Barinas1662831:3220
8Real Frontera16321116:2911
9Atletico El Vigia16141112:357
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Monagas B1483320:1327
2Deportivo Miranda1464410:822
3Bolivar1463514:1421
4Maritimo de Venezuela1455416:1320
5Dynamo Puerto FC1455416:1420
6Aragua1455412:1020
7Avila141948:1312
8Mineros140689:206