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Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Blumenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Krystian
23' Event
Betinho
69' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
35%
Draws
16%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blumenau come out ahead of Barra FC (Santa Catarina) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barra FC (Santa Catarina) a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Blumenau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 18%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Blumenau
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Blumenau
2:2
Aug 11, 2019 Catarinense 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Blumenau
0:0
Jul 3, 2019 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Krystian
1 Goals
Assists Leader Betinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 41 / 100
Blumenau 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Blumenau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Blumenau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Blumenau

(Away)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 5 4 1 0 6:2 13
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Marcilio Dias 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
4 Hercilio Luz 5 3 0 2 11:9 9
5 Santa Catarina 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
6 CA Metropolitano 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
8 Nacao 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
9 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)