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Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs CA Metropolitano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Da Rocha
35' Event
(Penalty)
40' Event
Emerson Tucao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
30%
Draws
35%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s way, sitting at 60%.
  • CA Metropolitano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 12%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs CA Metropolitano
3:3
Dec 7, 2020 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Rocha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Tucao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 56 / 100
CA Metropolitano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: CA Metropolitano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS CA Metropolitano
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
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CA Metropolitano

(Away)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 5 4 1 0 6:2 13
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Marcilio Dias 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
4 Hercilio Luz 5 3 0 2 11:9 9
5 Santa Catarina 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
6 CA Metropolitano 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
8 Nacao 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
9 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)