Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Logo

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

5 - 1
FT
Concordia Logo

Concordia

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Geovany Soares
13'
Sub
Kaik Vicoza In: Puerari E.
Out: Kaik Vicoza
14'
Da Rocha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in this Catarinense matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra FC (Santa Catarina).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
35%
Draws
16%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have won more games recently than Concordia.
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Concordia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.28 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia
5:1
Jan 15, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia
0:2
Jun 30, 2024 Serie D
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia
0:0
May 19, 2024 Serie D
Concordia vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Bernabe
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saymon
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Concordia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 95 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Concordia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 7

Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)