Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Geovany Soares
13'
Sub
Kaik Vicoza In: Puerari E.
Out: Kaik Vicoza
14'
Da Rocha

AI Match Summary

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in this Catarinense matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra FC (Santa Catarina).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
17%
Draws
13%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have won more games recently than Concordia.
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Concordia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia
5:1
Jan 15, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia
0:2
Jun 30, 2024 Serie D
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Concordia
0:0
May 19, 2024 Serie D
Concordia vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Bernabe
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saymon
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Concordia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 77 / 100
Concordia 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Concordia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Concordia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
Page 1 of 7

Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque63309:612
2Avai63128:710
3Camboriu62318:69
4Concordia62135:107
5Marcilio Dias62046:66
6Joinville60153:141
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Catarina633010:512
2Chapecoense-SC632111:511
3Criciuma632110:811
4Barra FC (Santa Catarina)63038:59
5Figueirense62136:87
6Carlos Renaux61144:84
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)