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Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Itabaiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Warley Jr In: Natan Costa
Out: Warley Jr
26'
Tito
46'
Natan Costa

AI Match Summary

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra FC (Santa Catarina).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
35%
Draws
9%
Itabaiana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) at 1.07 per game, Itabaiana at 0.8.
  • Win probability leans Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 68%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Itabaiana
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie C
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Itabaiana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Vava Franca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Itabaiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 86 / 100
Itabaiana 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Itabaiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Itabaiana conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Itabaiana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Itabaiana
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

Itabaiana

(Away)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)