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Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Santa Catarina. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) at 1.12 goals for, 1.09 against; Santa Catarina at 1.28 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have won 1 to Santa Catarina's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.13, favoring Santa Catarina. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
35%
Draws
41%
Santa Catarina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Catarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Catarina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Santa Catarina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Santa Catarina
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.12 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina
1:1
Jan 23, 2025 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Catarina
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 31 / 100
Santa Catarina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Santa Catarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Santa Catarina let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Santa Catarina
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Home)
11 Oct
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
CA Metropolitano
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Santa Catarina

(Away)
10 Oct
Santa Catarina
0 : 3
Joinville
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Figueirense 5 4 1 0 6:2 13
2 Joinville 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
3 Marcilio Dias 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
4 Hercilio Luz 5 3 0 2 11:9 9
5 Santa Catarina 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
6 CA Metropolitano 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 5 0 4 1 10:11 4
8 Nacao 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
9 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)