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Barra Mansa vs Buzios

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barra Mansa host Buzios in the Carioca B2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Barra Mansa have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Buzios's 1.43 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Barra Mansa have won 0 to Buzios's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.38, favoring Buzios. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Barra Mansa
30%
Draws
0%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Buzios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Barra Mansa taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 17%
Buzios Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Buzios
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.96 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Carioca C
Barra Mansa vs Buzios
0:2
Jul 19, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Barra Mansa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 84 / 100
Buzios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra Mansa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Buzios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Barra Mansa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Buzios
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Buzios

(Away)
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
26 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
2 Friburguense 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
3 Santa Cruz RJ 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 7 de Abril 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Paduano EC 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Belford Roxo 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Campos AA 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
8 Serra Macaense 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
9 FC Rio de Janeiro 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Barra Mansa 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
11 Paraty 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
12 Buzios 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)