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Barra Mansa vs Cardoso Moreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Barra Mansa
30%
Draws
41%
Cardoso Moreira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardoso Moreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Cardoso Moreira have won more games recently than Barra Mansa.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 10%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Cardoso Moreira
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs Cardoso Moreira
0:0
Jul 3, 2026 Carioca C
Barra Mansa vs Cardoso Moreira
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 30 / 100
Cardoso Moreira 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Cardoso Moreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardoso Moreira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Barra Mansa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barra Mansa found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Cardoso Moreira let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Cardoso Moreira
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
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Cardoso Moreira

(Away)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
1 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)