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Barra Mansa vs FC Rio de Janeiro

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Oliveira T.
17' Event
de Lima Araujo D.
34' Event
Alex Pixote

AI Match Summary

Barra Mansa in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra Mansa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barra Mansa
6%
Draws
4%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Rio de Janeiro haven't matched Barra Mansa's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Barra Mansa taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 16%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Carioca B2
FC Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa
3:0
Nov 7, 2024 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs FC Rio de Janeiro
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra Mansa Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Lima Araujo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 84 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa FC Rio de Janeiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rio de Janeiro has conceded goals in 89% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barra Mansa remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: FC Rio de Janeiro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS FC Rio de Janeiro
0.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.6
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
0% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336