Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra Mansa vs Tigres Brasil

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Pimentel B.

AI Match Summary

Barra Mansa in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra Mansa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Barra Mansa
35%
Draws
47%
Tigres Brasil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres Brasil have won more games recently than Barra Mansa.
  • Tigres Brasil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 14%
Tigres Brasil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Tigres Brasil
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Carioca C
Barra Mansa vs Tigres Brasil
1:0
Apr 9, 2015 Carioca
Tigres Brasil vs Barra Mansa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra Mansa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimentel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Tigres Brasil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 10 / 100
Tigres Brasil 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Tigres Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres Brasil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Barra Mansa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barra Mansa found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Tigres Brasil
0.88 Goals Scored 2.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Brasil

(Away)
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
08 Jun
Ceres
2 : 4
Tigres Brasil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)