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Barra Mansa vs Uni Souza

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barra Mansa host Uni Souza in the Carioca C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barra Mansa have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Uni Souza's 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Barra Mansa have won 0 to Uni Souza's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Uni Souza. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barra Mansa
33%
Draws
27%
Uni Souza
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Uni Souza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Barra Mansa taking it.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 16%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Uni Souza
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Carioca C
Uni Souza vs Barra Mansa
0:0
Oct 17, 2024 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs Uni Souza
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 39 / 100
Uni Souza 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Uni Souza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uni Souza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Barra Mansa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Barra Mansa's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Uni Souza
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube0
Tigres Brasil2
Campos AA3
Barra Mansa-
Uni Souza-
Rio Barra0
Buzios1
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-