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Barranquilla vs Cartagena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barranquilla host Cartagena in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Barranquilla at 1.45 goals for, 1.35 against; Cartagena at 1.66 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Barranquilla have won 2 to Cartagena's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.25, favoring Cartagena. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barranquilla
35%
Draws
22%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barranquilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Cartagena have won more games recently than Barranquilla.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Barranquilla taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 19%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barranquilla Cartagena
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Barranquilla
2:1
Apr 27, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Cartagena
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Barranquilla
1:3
Oct 10, 2025 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Cartagena
3:1
Sep 7, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Barranquilla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barranquilla 58 / 100
Cartagena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barranquilla Cartagena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barranquilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Barranquilla scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Barranquilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barranquilla VS Cartagena
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barranquilla

(Home)
15 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
11 Oct
Barranquilla
4 : 1
Quindio
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
03 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Millonarios
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 7

Cartagena

(Away)
16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1
Cartagena
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
2 Real Cundinamarca 13 7 3 3 19:11 24
3 Tigres Futbol Club 13 6 5 2 16:7 23
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
5 Patriotas 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
6 Atletico F.C. 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
7 Cartagena 13 4 5 4 22:17 17
8 Quindio 13 4 5 4 11:13 17
9 Real Santander 13 3 7 3 15:19 16
10 Inter Palmira 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
11 Envigado 13 2 8 3 14:13 14
12 Union Magdalena 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
13 Orsomarso 13 3 5 5 9:12 14
14 Bogota 13 3 5 5 9:13 14
15 Leones 13 3 5 5 11:19 14
16 Barranquilla 13 3 4 6 17:20 13
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)