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Barreirense vs Vulcanico

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2018 game between Barreirense and Vulcanico finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vulcanico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barreirense
20%
Draws
40%
Vulcanico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Barreirense haven't matched Vulcanico's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Barreirense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Barreirense Clean Sheet 20%
Vulcanico Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreirense Vulcanico
Matches Played 22 26
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.14 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico vs Barreirense
1:1
Apr 14, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Barreirense vs Vulcanico
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreirense 42 / 100
Vulcanico 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreirense Vulcanico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreirense scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: Vulcanico conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Barreirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barreirense VS Vulcanico
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barreirense

(Home)
15 Jun
Barreirense
0 : 2
Palmeira
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3
Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1
GD Varandinha
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 5

Vulcanico

(Away)
12 May
Vulcanico
1 : 1
Barreirense
05 May
Palmeira
1 : 0
Vulcanico
28 Apr
Sporting Praia
1 : 0
Vulcanico
22 Apr
Vulcanico
2 : 1
Sporting Praia
14 Apr
Barreirense
0 : 1
Vulcanico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Mindelense 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Academica Porto Novo 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Foguetoes 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
2 Belo Horizonte 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
3 Scorpion Vermelho 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Morabeza 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Sporting Praia 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Vulcanico 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Barreirense 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams