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Barreiros FC vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Barreiros FC and Cabense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Barreiros FC
28%
Draws
50%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cabense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barreiros FC come out ahead of Cabense on wins alone.
  • Cabense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Barreiros FC Clean Sheet 10%
Cabense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreiros FC Cabense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.8 2
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Barreiros FC vs Cabense
1:2
Oct 23, 2016 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Barreiros FC
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreiros FC 22 / 100
Cabense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreiros FC Cabense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabense let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Barreiros FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Barreiros FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barreiros FC VS Cabense
0.8 Goals Scored 2
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ypiranga650110:215
2Ipojuca641113:213
3Cabense641112:513
4Santa Fe PE62136:97
5Barreiros FC61234:135
6Serrano PE61143:104
7Aguia FC61053:103