Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
McCann C.
46'
46'
Sub
Jarvis C. In: Davies T.
Out: Jarvis C.
48'
48'
Gordon J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Newport in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newport lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Barrow Clean Sheet 68%
Newport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barrow | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League Two
Barrow vs Newport
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Barrow
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Barrow
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 League Two
Barrow vs Newport
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 League Two
Barrow vs Newport
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barrow Compare
Top Goalscorer McCann C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kamwa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barrow 77 / 100
Newport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barrow Newport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Newport conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Barrow scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Barrow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Barrow VS Newport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barrow
(Home) 19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2 Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Sutton
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2 Yeovil
15 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2 Hornchurch
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Blackpool
Page 1 of 3
Newport
(Away) 19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 Newport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
