Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness

Barrow

2 - 0

Nottingham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Sub

Barkhuizen T. In: Whitfield B.

Out: Barkhuizen T.

61'

Sub

Blake Z. In: Sillah L.

Out: Blake Z.

61'

Worrall D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Barrow advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Barrow

20%

Draws

38%

Nottingham U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nottingham U21 come out ahead of Barrow on wins alone.
Model gives Barrow a 42% chance of winning this.
Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Barrow, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barrow	Nottingham U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	17
Draws	4	3
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	1	2
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 EFL Trophy

Barrow vs Nottingham U21

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Worrall D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cameron I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Nottingham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 40 / 100

Nottingham U21 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barrow Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Barrow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Barrow scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nottingham U21 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Nottingham U21

1 Goals Scored 2

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.8

75% Over 1.5 80%

75% Over 2.5 60%

50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)

25 Jul

Barrow

2 : 0

Blackpool

21 Jul

Radcliffe

0 : 0

Barrow

18 Jul

Barrow

4 : 3

Mansfield

11 Jul

Barrow

2 : 0

Workington

04 Jul

Holker Old Boys

0 : 2

Barrow

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Nottingham U21

(Away)

11 May

Nottingham U21

1 : 2

Norwich U21

04 May

Peterborough U21

0 : 1

Nottingham U21

27 Apr

Nottingham U21

3 : 2

Charlton U21

03 Apr

Nottingham U21

2 : 0

Crystal Palace U21

20 Mar

Nottingham U21

3 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

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