Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness

Barrow

2 - 0

Nottingham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Sub

Barkhuizen T. In: Whitfield B.

Out: Barkhuizen T.

61'

Sub

Blake Z. In: Sillah L.

Out: Blake Z.

61'

Worrall D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Barrow advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Barrow

20%

Draws

51%

Nottingham U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nottingham U21 come out ahead of Barrow on wins alone.
Model gives Barrow a 29% chance of winning this.
Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Barrow, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Barrow Clean Sheet 20%

Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barrow	Nottingham U21
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	15
Draws	7	3
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.21	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 EFL Trophy

Barrow vs Nottingham U21

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Worrall D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cameron I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Nottingham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 58 / 100

Nottingham U21 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barrow Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Nottingham U21 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Barrow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Nottingham U21

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)

15 Sept

Solihull Moors

1 : 0

Barrow

12 Sept

Worthing FC

2 : 2

Barrow

05 Sept

Barrow

3 : 0

Sutton

31 Aug

Kidderminster

1 : 1

Barrow

28 Aug

Barrow

1 : 2

Yeovil

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Nottingham U21

(Away)

14 Sept

Nottingham U21

1 : 0

Burnley U21

08 Sept

Scunthorpe

2 : 1

Nottingham U21

28 Aug

Nottingham U21

2 : 1

Manchester City U21

24 Aug

Sunderland U21

5 : 1

Nottingham U21

18 Aug

Gateshead

1 : 2

Nottingham U21

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