Sport Picks
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2015/2016 Jenner Park, Barry 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-2, with Barry Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Barry Town are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Barry Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barry Town, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 20%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barry Town | Aberdare Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 12, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Barry Town
0:3
Nov 28, 2015 Division 1
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town
1:1
Oct 31, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town
7:2
Oct 4, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Aberdare Town vs Barry Town
4:2
Mar 23, 2013 Division 1
Barry Town vs Aberdare Town
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barry Town 40 / 100
Aberdare Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barry Town Aberdare Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barry Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barry Town scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Aberdare Town has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Barry Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Barry Town VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Barry Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 4
Aberdare Town
(Away) 06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1 Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2 Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1 Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1 Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3 Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1 Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1 Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3 Aberdare Town
20 Apr
Monmouth
0 : 0 Aberdare Town
05 Mar
Aberbargoed Buds
2 : 2 Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
