Sport Picks

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Barry Town vs Haverfordwest

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Jenner Park, Barry
Sun, Apr 26, 2026
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hulbert O.
26'
Bacon J.
43'
Barton D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Haverfordwest advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Barry Town
20%
Draws
47%
Haverfordwest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Haverfordwest haven't matched Barry Town's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Barry Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Haverfordwest, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 20%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Haverfordwest
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest
1:2
Nov 28, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest
4:0
Nov 4, 2025 League Cup
Haverfordwest vs Barry Town
0:2
Sep 23, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Barry Town
2:3
Jan 14, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Hulbert O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Walters G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 32 / 100
Haverfordwest 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Haverfordwest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Barry Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Haverfordwest let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Haverfordwest
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
Page 1 of 6

Haverfordwest

(Away)
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Barry Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Colwyn Bay 0
Penybont 1
Final
Haverfordwest 0
Penybont 2