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Barry Town vs TNS

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Jenner Park, Barry
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Owen I.
39' Event
Brobbel R.
63'
Sub
Richards W. In: Davies K.
Out: Richards W.

AI Match Summary

TNS in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Barry Town
15%
Draws
58%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TNS lately — more wins on the board than Barry Town.
  • TNS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%
TNS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town TNS
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.8 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs TNS
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League Cup
TNS vs Barry Town
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barry Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Brobbel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 10 / 100
TNS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barry Town scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Barry Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

TNS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS TNS
2.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)