Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni

Bartolome Mitre

1 - 0

Defensores de Vilelas

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Romero W. In: Cerdan R.

Out: Romero W.

54'

Sub

Caceres A. In: Caceres J.

Out: Caceres A.

63'

Sub

Carballo G. In: Acevedo J.

Out: Carballo G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Bartolome Mitre and Defensores de Vilelas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bartolome Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Bartolome Mitre

28%

Draws

22%

Defensores de Vilelas

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bartolome Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Bartolome Mitre come out ahead of Defensores de Vilelas on wins alone.
Bartolome Mitre are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bartolome Mitre	Defensores de Vilelas
Matches Played	29	16
Wins	12	6
Draws	10	1
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal

Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 9, 2026 Torneo Federal

Defensores de Vilelas vs Bartolome Mitre

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquivel L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Defensores de Vilelas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bartolome Mitre 59 / 100

Defensores de Vilelas 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bartolome Mitre Defensores de Vilelas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensores de Vilelas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bartolome Mitre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Defensores de Vilelas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bartolome Mitre VS Defensores de Vilelas

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12