Sport Picks
Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni, Posadas 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Romero W. In: Cerdan R.
Out: Romero W.
54'
54'
Sub
Caceres A. In: Caceres J.
Out: Caceres A.
63'
63'
Sub
Carballo G. In: Acevedo J.
Out: Carballo G.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Bartolome Mitre and Defensores de Vilelas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bartolome Mitre.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Vilelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bartolome Mitre come out ahead of Defensores de Vilelas on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 17%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bartolome Mitre | Defensores de Vilelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 24 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Defensores de Vilelas
1:0
May 9, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Bartolome Mitre
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bartolome Mitre Compare
Top Goalscorer Esquivel L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Defensores de Vilelas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bartolome Mitre 31 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bartolome Mitre Defensores de Vilelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensores de Vilelas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores de Vilelas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Bartolome Mitre's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Bartolome Mitre remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bartolome Mitre VS Defensores de Vilelas
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bartolome Mitre
(Home) 20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
08 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
12 Jul
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Vilelas
(Away) 19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0 El Linqueno
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 5
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3 Defensores de Vilelas
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Defensores de Vilelas
16 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
08 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
12 Jul
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
