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Basa vs FC Gareji Sagarejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Basa Logo

Basa

0 - 2
FT
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Gugberidze B.
64' Event
Aidarashvili D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Basa
15%
Draws
50%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Basa haven't matched FC Gareji Sagarejo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Basa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Gareji Sagarejo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Basa Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basa FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Georgian Cup
Basa vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gugberidze B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aidarashvili D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basa 40 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basa FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basa scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Basa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basa VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basa

(Home)
25 Jul
Basa
0 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
26 Jun
Basa
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
27 May
Basa
2 : 4
Guria

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -