Sport Picks

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Basa vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Gugberidze B.
64' Event
Aidarashvili D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with FC Gareji Sagarejo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Basa
22%
Draws
60%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Basa haven't matched FC Gareji Sagarejo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Gareji Sagarejo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Gareji Sagarejo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Basa Clean Sheet 17%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basa FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Georgian Cup
Basa vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gugberidze B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aidarashvili D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basa 20 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basa FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basa scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Basa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basa VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basa

(Home)
25 Jul
Basa
0 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
26 Jun
Basa
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
27 May
Basa
2 : 4
Guria

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
25 Jul
Basa
0 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
22 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Gori
1 : 3
FC Gareji Sagarejo
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi1
Dinamo Batumi4
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
Kolkheti 19130
Dusheti1
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
Spaeri5
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Basa0
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Gori1
Bolnisi0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0
Dila Gori1
Iberia 1999 20
Telavi0
Merani Martvili0
Odishi 19191
Guria0
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
WIT Georgia1
Samgurali0
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gori-
Dila Gori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-