Sport Picks
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul 
Match Events
5'
5'
Shomurodov E.
Assist: Sari Y.
22'
22'
Yildirim B.
30'
30'
Baldursson A. F.
AI Match Summary
Basaksehir in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basaksehir.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Basaksehir have won more games recently than Kasimpasa.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Basaksehir have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 20%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basaksehir | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Basaksehir
1:3
May 18, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Basaksehir
2:3
Dec 23, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
2:2
May 5, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basaksehir Compare
Top Goalscorer Shomurodov E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Yildirim B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Kasimpasa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basaksehir 32 / 100
Kasimpasa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basaksehir Kasimpasa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basaksehir found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Kasimpasa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Basaksehir remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Basaksehir VS Kasimpasa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Basaksehir
(Home) 30 Jul
Inter Turku
2 : 0 Basaksehir
22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Inter Turku
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2 Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1 Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Inter Turku
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0 Samsunspor
24 Apr
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Kasimpasa
11 Apr
Basaksehir
3 : 0 Genclerbirligi
18 Mar
Basaksehir
0 : 0 Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 3
Kasimpasa
(Away) 01 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Hull City
24 Jul
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Genclerbirligi
18 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Batman Petrolspor
12 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
17 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 0 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Genclerbirligi
3 : 2 Kasimpasa
24 Apr
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Kasimpasa
12 Apr
Goztepe
3 : 3 Kasimpasa
19 Mar
Besiktas
2 : 1 Kasimpasa
08 Mar
Konyaspor
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
