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Basaksehir vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basaksehir host Samsunspor in the Super Lig. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Basaksehir have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Samsunspor's 1.37 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Basaksehir slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.25, favoring Basaksehir. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Basaksehir
15%
Draws
0%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basaksehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Basaksehir have won more games recently than Samsunspor.
  • Model gives Basaksehir a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Basaksehir have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 19%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Samsunspor
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Samsunspor
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Basaksehir
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Samsunspor
4:0
Sep 18, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Basaksehir
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Samsunspor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 85 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basaksehir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samsunspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Basaksehir scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Samsunspor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Samsunspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
18 Oct
Basaksehir
2 : 1
Gaziantep
11 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 0
Basaksehir
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
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Samsunspor

(Away)
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 17:11 19
2 Amedspor 8 5 2 1 18:9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
4 Trabzonspor 8 5 1 2 18:5 16
5 Besiktas 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Kasimpasa 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Kocaelispor 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
9 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
10 Basaksehir 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
12 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
13 Goztepe 8 2 3 3 17:16 9
14 Gaziantep 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
15 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 4:9 5
17 Samsunspor 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)