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Stadium Background

Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
da Silva F.
Assist: Muci E.
38'
Shomurodov E.
38'
Savic S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Trabzonspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Basaksehir
17%
Draws
13%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Basaksehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Trabzonspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Basaksehir's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Trabzonspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Trabzonspor, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trabzonspor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 20%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Trabzonspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Turkish Cup
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
2:4
Nov 24, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
3:4
Mar 15, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Oct 19, 2024 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brnic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eskihellac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 67 / 100
Trabzonspor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basaksehir scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Trabzonspor conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Basaksehir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Trabzonspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
30 Jul
Inter Turku
2 : 0
Basaksehir
22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Inter Turku
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2
Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2
Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1
Basaksehir
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Trabzonspor

(Away)
30 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Al-Sadd
26 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
22 May
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Genclerbirligi
13 May
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams