Sport Picks
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul 
Match Events
6'
6'
da Silva F.
Assist: Muci E.
38'
38'
Shomurodov E.
38'
38'
Savic S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-4, with Trabzonspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trabzonspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trabzonspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Trabzonspor's way, sitting at 60%.
- Trabzonspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Trabzonspor, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Trabzonspor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 19%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basaksehir | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.53 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Turkish Cup
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
2:4
Nov 24, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
3:4
Mar 15, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basaksehir Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Costa N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brnic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Trabzonspor Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eskihellac M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basaksehir 20 / 100
Trabzonspor 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basaksehir Trabzonspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trabzonspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basaksehir scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Trabzonspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Trabzonspor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Basaksehir VS Trabzonspor
1.43 Goals Scored 0.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Basaksehir
(Home) 19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0 Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Genclerbirligi
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
16 Aug
Basaksehir
2 : 0 Kocaelispor
22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Inter Turku
Page 1 of 3
Trabzonspor
(Away) 01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 Drogheda
19 Sept
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 Galatasaray
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0 Trabzonspor
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0 Genclerbirligi
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1 Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0 Trabzonspor
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1 Trabzonspor
27 Aug
Ferencvaros
4 : 0 Trabzonspor
15 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Trabzonspor
08 Aug
Goztepe
2 : 1 Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
