Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basconia vs Bermeo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Basconia
35%
Draws
19%
Bermeo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basconia lately — more wins on the board than Bermeo.
  • Model gives Basconia a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Bermeo
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.92 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Bermeo
4:1
Nov 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Basconia
0:1
Mar 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Basconia
0:0
Nov 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Bermeo
1:2
Aug 5, 2017 Club Friendly
Bermeo vs Basconia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 86 / 100
Bermeo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Bermeo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bermeo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Basconia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 8

Bermeo

(Away)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 26 8 4 65:21 86
2 Sestao 38 22 12 4 74:36 78
3 Alaves B 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
4 San Ignacio 38 17 12 9 66:36 63
5 Balmaseda 38 17 12 9 50:36 63
6 Basconia 38 16 12 10 64:52 60
7 Real Sociedad C 38 16 11 11 71:48 59
8 Somorrostro 38 14 15 9 59:43 57
9 Sodupe 38 11 17 10 49:45 50
10 Pasaia 38 12 13 13 33:46 49
11 Santutxu FC 38 12 12 14 38:48 48
12 Lagun Onak 38 12 12 14 46:46 48
13 Beasain 38 9 19 10 46:40 46
14 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 33:42 45
15 SD Deusto 38 10 13 15 41:55 43
16 Zamudio 38 10 9 19 42:66 39
17 Amurrio Club 38 8 10 20 30:64 34
18 Ordizia 38 5 16 17 40:72 31
19 SD San Pedro 38 6 11 21 40:69 29
20 Bermeo 38 2 13 23 24:71 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)