Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basconia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elgoibar haven't matched Basconia's recent run of results.
- Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Basconia Clean Sheet 20%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basconia | Elgoibar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Elgoibar
5:0
Oct 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Basconia
3:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Elgoibar
0:0
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Basconia
1:0
Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Basconia
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basconia 85 / 100
Elgoibar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basconia Elgoibar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basconia scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Elgoibar conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Basconia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Basconia VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Basconia
(Home) 19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2 Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2 Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1 SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0 Gernika Club
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Elgoibar
(Away) 15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0 Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1 Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0 Elgoibar
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1 Elgoibar
13 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 0 Elgoibar
30 Mar
Portugalete
2 : 0 Elgoibar
23 Mar
Sodupe
1 : 1 Elgoibar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laudio | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 65:29 | 81 |
| 2 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 54:24 | 78 |
| 3 | Portugalete | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 75:38 | 73 |
| 4 | Leioa | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 43:28 | 71 |
| 5 | Gernika Club | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 51:36 | 67 |
| 7 | Bermeo | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 39:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Zamudio | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 41:52 | 47 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 36:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Basconia | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 15 | Elgoibar | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 17 | Balmaseda | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:49 | 39 |
| 19 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Anaitasuna FT | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 35:61 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
