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Stadium Background

Basconia vs Elgoibar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Basconia and Elgoibar finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Basconia
6%
Draws
4%
Elgoibar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basconia come out ahead of Elgoibar on wins alone.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Basconia Clean Sheet 20%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Elgoibar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Elgoibar
5:0
Oct 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Basconia
3:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Elgoibar
0:0
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Basconia
1:0
Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Basconia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 85 / 100
Elgoibar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Elgoibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Basconia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Basconia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elgoibar conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 7

Elgoibar

(Away)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leioa38249562:3481
2Portugalete382010867:3870
3Arenas Getxo38209967:3969
4Basconia381910977:4967
5Alaves B3817111054:3362
6Zalla UC3816121055:4560
7Gernika Club381514943:2959
8Zamudio3815111264:4856
9Balmaseda3814131145:4055
10Beasain3814101445:5952
11Santutxu FC38921837:4048
12SCD Durango381391652:5748
13Pasaia3812101639:4846
14Lagun Onak381291734:4645
15Oiartzun3811111640:6144
16Amurrio Club381191831:4542
17Bermeo389121737:4639
18Elgoibar387141726:4835
19Sodupe385102336:6525
20Retuerto Sport385102321:6225
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)