Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026

Gernika Club

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Basconia play Gernika Club in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Basconia averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Gernika Club averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Basconia won 1, Gernika Club won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Basconia and 1.19 for Gernika Club. This points to a Basconia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Basconia

35%

Draws

30%

Gernika Club

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Basconia picked up more points recently compared to Gernika Club.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Basconia Clean Sheet 20%

Gernika Club Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Basconia	Gernika Club
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	12	10
Draws	11	10
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.78	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Basconia vs Gernika Club

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Gernika Club vs Basconia

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Basconia vs Gernika Club

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Oct 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Gernika Club vs Basconia

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Gernika Club vs Basconia

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 36 / 100

Gernika Club 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Basconia Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Basconia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Basconia attacking → ← attacking Gernika Club

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Gernika Club let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Basconia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gernika Club lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 40

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Union	34	20	9	5	64:35	69
2	Alaves B	34	17	11	6	41:20	62
3	UD Logrones	34	18	7	9	73:33	61
4	Utebo FC	34	17	7	10	56:42	58
5	Tudelano	34	16	9	9	56:40	57
6	Amorebieta	34	13	11	10	38:32	50
7	Sestao	34	12	14	8	40:33	50
8	Ebro	34	11	16	7	42:36	49
9	Eibar B	34	14	7	13	41:42	49
10	Basconia	34	11	14	9	55:43	47
11	Gernika Club	34	12	9	13	34:40	45
12	Naxara	34	11	8	15	39:48	41
13	SD Logrones	34	8	13	13	22:40	37
14	Beasain	34	8	12	14	38:46	36
15	SD Ejea	34	8	11	15	35:55	35
16	Mutilvera	34	8	6	20	31:65	30
17	Zaragoza B	34	7	7	20	32:59	28
18	Alfaro	34	6	7	21	32:60	25