Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basconia vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Urzaiz U.
41' Event
Goni M.
76'
Biesa B.

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Basconia
30%
Draws
39%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mutilvera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basconia lately — more wins on the board than Mutilvera.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Mutilvera
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Basconia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Urzaiz U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 50 / 100
Mutilvera 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basconia scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Mutilvera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Basconia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Mutilvera
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3
Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

Mutilvera

(Away)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)