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Basconia vs SD Ejea

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Unamuno O.
14' Event
Urzaiz U.
25' Event
Oyono I.

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Basconia
20%
Draws
40%
SD Ejea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • SD Ejea haven't matched Basconia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 19%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia SD Ejea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs SD Ejea
5:1
Oct 18, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Basconia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Unamuno O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urzaiz U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Agustin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 31 / 100
SD Ejea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia SD Ejea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

SD Ejea let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Basconia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS SD Ejea
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 6

SD Ejea

(Away)
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)