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Stadium Background

Basconia vs SD Ejea

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Unamuno O.
14' Event
Urzaiz U.
25' Event
Oyono I.

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Basconia
6%
Draws
4%
SD Ejea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Ejea haven't matched Basconia's recent run of results.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Basconia Clean Sheet 19%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia SD Ejea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs SD Ejea
5:1
Oct 18, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Basconia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Unamuno O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urzaiz U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Agustin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 85 / 100
SD Ejea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia SD Ejea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ejea let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Basconia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Basconia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS SD Ejea
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

SD Ejea

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
02 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)