Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basconia vs Sodupe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Basconia
30%
Draws
31%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Basconia have won more games recently than Sodupe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Sodupe
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Sodupe
2:1
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Basconia
2:1
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Basconia
0:0
Aug 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Sodupe
3:2
Mar 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Basconia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 41 / 100
Sodupe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Sodupe has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Basconia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Sodupe
2.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 17%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 7

Sodupe

(Away)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)