Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026

Utebo FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Basconia play Utebo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Basconia averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Utebo FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Basconia won 1, Utebo FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Basconia and 1.19 for Utebo FC. This points to a Basconia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Basconia

27%

Draws

33%

Utebo FC

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Basconia picked up more points recently compared to Utebo FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Basconia Clean Sheet 20%

Utebo FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Basconia	Utebo FC
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	12	13
Draws	11	6
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.78	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Basconia vs Utebo FC

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

4:0

Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Basconia

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sola J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Conde A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Utebo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 40 / 100

Utebo FC 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Basconia Utebo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Basconia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Basconia attacking → ← attacking Utebo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Utebo FC let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Basconia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Utebo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 45

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Union	34	20	9	5	64:35	69
2	Alaves B	34	17	11	6	41:20	62
3	UD Logrones	34	18	7	9	73:33	61
4	Utebo FC	34	17	7	10	56:42	58
5	Tudelano	34	16	9	9	56:40	57
6	Amorebieta	34	13	11	10	38:32	50
7	Sestao	34	12	14	8	40:33	50
8	Ebro	34	11	16	7	42:36	49
9	Eibar B	34	14	7	13	41:42	49
10	Basconia	34	11	14	9	55:43	47
11	Gernika Club	34	12	9	13	34:40	45
12	Naxara	34	11	8	15	39:48	41
13	SD Logrones	34	8	13	13	22:40	37
14	Beasain	34	8	12	14	38:46	36
15	SD Ejea	34	8	11	15	35:55	35
16	Mutilvera	34	8	6	20	31:65	30
17	Zaragoza B	34	7	7	20	32:59	28
18	Alfaro	34	6	7	21	32:60	25