Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basel II vs Bavois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basel II host Bavois in the Promotion League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Basel II at 1.77 goals for, 1.53 against; Bavois at 1.55 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor Bavois slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Basel II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Basel II
15%
Draws
21%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basel II lately — more wins on the board than Bavois.
  • Basel II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Basel II Clean Sheet 19%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel II Bavois
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Basel II
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bavois
1:4
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bavois
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Basel II
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Basel II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel II 58 / 100
Bavois 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel II Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel II's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bavois's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Basel II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel II VS Bavois
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel II

(Home)
03 Oct
Basel II
3 : 2
Luzern II
26 Sept
Young Boys II
0 : 2
Basel II
19 Sept
Basel II
1 : 2
Bulle
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
Page 1 of 6

Bavois

(Away)
03 Oct
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Bavois
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
05 Sept
Bavois
3 : 0
Bulle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)