Sport Picks

Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026

Basel II

3 - 2

Luzern II

Our Tip

Match Events

Sow C.

22'

Sow C.

45'

Senaya E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Basel II in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Basel II

33%

Draws

27%

Luzern II

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Luzern II haven't matched Basel II's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Basel II's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%

Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Basel II	Luzern II
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	5	9
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Promotion League

Basel II vs Luzern II

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 4 - 4

3:2

Aug 6, 2025 Promotion League

Luzern II vs Basel II

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Feb 15, 2025 Promotion League

Luzern II vs Basel II

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Sep 25, 2024 Promotion League

Basel II vs Luzern II

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

Feb 17, 2024 Promotion League

Basel II vs Luzern II

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Senaya E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Meyer S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gamper M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel II 38 / 100

Luzern II 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Basel II Luzern II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basel II scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Luzern II conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Basel II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basel II VS Luzern II

1.63 Goals Scored 2.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kriens	34	25	4	5	100:43	79
2	Bruhl SG	34	22	6	6	87:46	72
3	Biel	34	19	7	8	78:46	64
4	Basel II	34	17	8	9	65:48	59
5	Bavois	34	17	4	13	64:53	55
6	Young Boys II	34	15	9	10	66:52	54
7	Schaffhausen	34	16	5	13	51:46	53
8	Bulle	34	15	6	13	70:64	51
9	Cham	34	14	8	12	62:61	50
10	Grand-Saconnex	34	11	10	13	71:69	43
11	Zurich II	34	11	8	15	59:62	41
12	Breitenrain	34	11	8	15	47:51	41
13	Luzern II	34	10	10	14	80:83	40
14	FC Kreuzlingen	34	8	13	13	43:66	37
15	Lugano II	34	8	12	14	45:75	36
16	Paradiso	34	8	11	15	51:65	35
17	Lausanne II	34	9	4	21	60:84	31
18	Vevey	34	1	5	28	28:113	2