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Stadium Background

Basel II vs Schaffhausen

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Del Toro D.
27' Event
Rexhaj A.
78' Event
Rexhaj A.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Basel II and Schaffhausen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Basel II
15%
Draws
37%
Schaffhausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Schaffhausen come out ahead of Basel II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Basel II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Basel II here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel II Schaffhausen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Promotion League
Basel II vs Schaffhausen
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Basel II
1:6
May 11, 2013 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Basel II
4:0
Oct 27, 2012 Promotion League
Basel II vs Schaffhausen
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rexhaj A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Toro D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel II 56 / 100
Schaffhausen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel II Schaffhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel II's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Defensive concern: Schaffhausen conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Basel II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel II VS Schaffhausen
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel II

(Home)
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
22 Aug
Basel II
2 : 3
Zurich II
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
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Schaffhausen

(Away)
12 Sept
Bruhl SG
1 : 1
Schaffhausen
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3
Young Fellows Juventus
30 Aug
Zurich II
3 : 1
Schaffhausen
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
19 Aug
Grand-Saconnex
1 : 4
Schaffhausen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)