Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basel vs Elversberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.
9' Event
Shaqiri X.
11' Event
Conte B.

AI Match Summary

Elversberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Basel
15%
Draws
54%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Elversberg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Elversberg
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaqiri X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leroy L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokwa Ntusu D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 22 / 100
Elversberg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Elversberg conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Basel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Elversberg
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
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Elversberg

(Away)
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
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