Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basel vs Elversberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mokwa Ntusu D.
9' Event
Shaqiri X.
11' Event
Conte B.

AI Match Summary

Elversberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Basel
17%
Draws
70%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Elversberg have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Elversberg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Elversberg
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaqiri X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leroy L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokwa Ntusu D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 14 / 100
Elversberg 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Basel found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Elversberg let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Basel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Elversberg
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
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Elversberg

(Away)
25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1
Elversberg
17 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 1
Elversberg
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5
Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0
Preussen Munster
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