Sport Picks
Basel vs VfB Stuttgart
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 St. Jakob-Park, Basel 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ajeti Al.
30'
30'
Ajeti Al.
36'
36'
Demirovic E.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Basel in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart have won more games recently than Basel.
- Model gives VfB Stuttgart a 43% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors VfB Stuttgart here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basel | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 2.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2025 Europa League
Basel vs VfB Stuttgart
2:0
Jan 13, 2020 Club Friendly
Basel vs VfB Stuttgart
0:2
Jul 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Basel vs VfB Stuttgart
2:3
Sep 27, 1978 Europa League
VfB Stuttgart vs Basel
4:1
Sep 13, 1978 Europa League
Basel vs VfB Stuttgart
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basel Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajeti Al.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shaqiri X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basel 10 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basel VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.
Defensive concern: VfB Stuttgart conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Basel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Basel VS VfB Stuttgart
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Basel
(Home) 09 Aug
Basel
4 : 2 Thun
01 Aug
Basel
0 : 1 Lausanne
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1 Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0 Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2 Winterthur
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Basel
4 : 2 Thun
01 Aug
Basel
0 : 1 Lausanne
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0 Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2 Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3 Yverdon
Page 1 of 3
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5 VfB Stuttgart
19 Jul
Balingen
0 : 7 VfB Stuttgart
23 May
Bayern Munich
3 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
16 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
