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Basel vs Winterthur

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Rohner F.
61' Event
Otele P.
83' Event
Buess R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Basel and Winterthur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Basel
30%
Draws
34%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Basel a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Basel Clean Sheet 14%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Winterthur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Winterthur
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Basel
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Basel
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Winterthur
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Basel vs Winterthur
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Otele P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doucoure J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Rohner F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buess R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 35 / 100
Winterthur 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterthur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Basel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Winterthur
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
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Winterthur

(Away)
24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2
Yverdon
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1
Bruhl SG
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
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