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Stadium Background

Basel vs Winterthur

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Rohner F.
61' Event
Otele P.
83' Event
Buess R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Basel and Winterthur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Basel
30%
Draws
43%
Winterthur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Winterthur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Basel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Winterthur a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Winterthur
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Winterthur
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Winterthur vs Basel
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Winterthur vs Basel
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Winterthur
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Basel vs Winterthur
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Otele P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doucoure J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Winterthur Compare

Top Goalscorer Rohner F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buess R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 18 / 100
Winterthur 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Winterthur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Winterthur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winterthur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Basel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Winterthur
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
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Winterthur

(Away)
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
Winterthur
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