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Basel vs Young Boys

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Janko S.
27' Event
Fernandes E.
Assist: Gigovic A.
29'
Lichtsteiner S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Basel
35%
Draws
45%
Young Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Boys lately — more wins on the board than Basel.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Young Boys taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Young Boys
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.72 2.86
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
3:3
May 10, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Young Boys
3:3
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Basel
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Young Boys
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaqiri X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traore B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Young Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colley E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 18 / 100
Young Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Young Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Basel scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Young Boys has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Basel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Young Boys
2.38 Goals Scored 3.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Young Boys

(Away)
19 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 2
Servette
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
01 Sept
Zurich
2 : 4
Young Boys
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 33 24 2 7 75:37 74
2 St. Gallen 33 17 9 7 64:40 60
3 Lugano 33 16 9 8 50:38 57
4 Basel 33 15 8 10 51:45 53
5 Sion 33 13 13 7 51:35 52
6 Young Boys 33 13 9 11 65:60 48
7 Luzern 33 10 10 13 64:61 40
8 Servette 33 9 13 11 57:57 40
9 Lausanne 33 10 9 14 47:57 39
10 Zurich 33 10 4 19 45:63 34
11 Grasshoppers 33 6 9 18 40:65 27
12 Winterthur 33 4 7 22 35:86 19
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)