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Basel W vs Aarau W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basel W host Aarau W in the Super League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Basel W have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Aarau W's 0.76 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Basel W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 1.06, favoring Basel W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Basel W
35%
Draws
37%
Aarau W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aarau W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Basel W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Basel W a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Basel W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Basel W Clean Sheet 20%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel W Aarau W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.44 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Basel W
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Basel W
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Aarau W
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Aarau W
4:0
Apr 12, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Basel W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel W 40 / 100
Aarau W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel W Aarau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Basel W scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Basel W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel W VS Aarau W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel W

(Home)
17 Oct
Aarau W
3 : 1
Basel W
03 Oct
Yverdon W
3 : 2
Basel W
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
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Aarau W

(Away)
17 Oct
Aarau W
3 : 1
Basel W
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 9 7 1 1 22:9 22
2 Zurich W 9 5 3 1 24:11 18
3 Young Boys W 9 5 3 1 17:12 18
4 Grasshopper W 9 5 2 2 25:11 17
5 Basel W 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
6 Luzern W 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 9 3 2 4 17:21 11
8 Yverdon W 9 2 2 5 15:18 8
9 St. Gallen W 9 1 1 7 8:24 4
10 Aarau W 9 1 1 7 10:31 4
Promotion - Super League Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women (Relegation)